Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000806 0.000919 0.001038 0.001174 0.001323 0.001481 0.001662
2025-02-09 0.000613 0.000768 0.000943 0.001154 0.001400 0.001677 0.002010
2025-02-16 0.000505 0.000675 0.000877 0.001131 0.001439 0.001797 0.002241
2025-02-23 0.000440 0.000623 0.000849 0.001144 0.001513 0.001954 0.002516
2025-03-02 0.000388 0.000579 0.000823 0.001152 0.001575 0.002094 0.002768
2025-03-09 0.000330 0.000519 0.000771 0.001120 0.001582 0.002161 0.002930
2025-03-16 0.000282 0.000467 0.000722 0.001087 0.001583 0.002217 0.003075
2025-03-23 0.000251 0.000436 0.000699 0.001085 0.001621 0.002320 0.003280
2025-03-30 0.000225 0.000408 0.000678 0.001084 0.001659 0.002421 0.003484
2025-04-06 0.000199 0.000379 0.000652 0.001073 0.001681 0.002501 0.003660
2025-04-13 0.000175 0.000349 0.000622 0.001053 0.001688 0.002558 0.003805
2025-04-20 0.000163 0.000339 0.000621 0.001076 0.001756 0.002700 0.004067
2025-04-27 0.000151 0.000327 0.000617 0.001094 0.001819 0.002839 0.004330
2025-05-04 0.000133 0.000302 0.000591 0.001076 0.001828 0.002900 0.004488
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000278 0.000563 0.001054 0.001828 0.002949 0.004627
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000268 0.000557 0.001066 0.001881 0.003073 0.004876
2025-05-25 0.000098 0.000256 0.000549 0.001073 0.001926 0.003186 0.005109
2025-06-01 0.000085 0.000234 0.000519 0.001043 0.001910 0.003209 0.005214
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000213 0.000491 0.001013 0.001891 0.003227 0.005310
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000202 0.000479 0.001010 0.001918 0.003313 0.005506
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000192 0.000469 0.001010 0.001947 0.003401 0.005707
2025-06-29 0.000053 0.000180 0.000454 0.000999 0.001959 0.003464 0.005872
2025-07-06 0.000046 0.000166 0.000434 0.000980 0.001955 0.003501 0.005997